Dr. Daron Shaw, Wall Street Journal/Fox News Decision Team

Dr. Daron Shaw is the most successful election night predictor for the Wall Street Journal/Fox News Decision Desk. He is “undefeated” among his peers with his early election night predictions handiwork since the Bush vs. Gore election night. He’s been working with the biggest names in the business, including television news, radio networks, and the blogs about the upcoming elections from state elections to the White House.

Dr. Shaw received his B.A. and Ph.D. degrees from UCLA before joining the faculty at the University of Texas at Austin in the fall of 1994. His areas of research and teaching specialization include Public Opinion and Voting Behavior, Applied Survey Research, Campaigns and Elections, Political Parties and American Government. His most recent book is “Unconventional Wisdom” (Oxford University Press), which examines across time survey data to inform the popular conversation about voting and elections in the United States. In 2006, he published “The Race to 270” (University of Chicago Press) which analyzes the effects of TV advertising and candidate visits on the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections.

In addition, Professor Shaw has published articles in the American Political Science Review, American Journal of Political Science, The Journal of Politics, Political Communication, The British Journal of Political Science, Public Opinion Quarterly, Political Behavior, Political Research Quarterly, Presidential Studies Quarterly, PS: Political Science, Party Politics, Electoral Studies, The Journal of Political Marketing, and American Politics Research.

Before accepting a position at Texas, Professor Shaw worked as a survey research analyst in several political and marketing campaigns. Subsequently, he served as a survey research and targeting expert for three presidential campaigns. Professor Shaw is currently a research fellow at the Hoover Institution, a member of the board of overseers for the National Election Study, a member of the Wall Street Journal/Fox News Decision Team and co-director of the Fox News Poll, the PI for the UT Government Department/Texas Tribune survey, the director of the Texas Lyceum Poll, and a member of the advisory board for the Annette Strauss Institute.

In 2013, he served as one of the lead academic advisors for the Presidential Commission on Election Administration. From 2003-2009 he served as a presidential appointee to the National Historical Publications and Records Commission. He has also served as a consultant for the Tomas Rivera Policy Institute and the Texas Poll. Professor Shaw is the founder and director of Shaw & Company Research.

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